Risk for severe storms for the weekend

The national weather service and the Storm Prediction Center are in agreement: there is a chance for strong to severe storms to develop over the weekend.

The NWS is giving it a 3 out of 5 probability while the SPC limits it to a 15% chance of severe weather.

From the SPC:

 Given the strength of this system, and the    accompanying/strong kinematic field, risk for at least isolated    severe storms remains evident -- including potential for damaging    winds and some tornado risk.  However, a primary limiting factor    appears likely to be limited CAPE (in part due to the widespread    convective development).  

As such, will maintain only 15% risk at    this time, though strength of this system and accompanying    deep-layer wind field warrants attention in future outlooks.